Magdeburg 4-1 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.21
Over
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.31
2-3
42%
1.87
4-5
23%
2.83
6+
13%
8.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.62
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
8%
4.91
X/2
10%
7.58
X/X
11%
5.55
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
17%
5.11
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Landed.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 The Market 31%
-16% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.59/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.63
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.1 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
351 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 1-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
19.05.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
10.11.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
13.09.2020 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-3 HT 2-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AFK
13.04.2019 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
03.11.2018 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-1 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
4-1
AWAY Darmstadt 98
2.48 xG 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 4
430 Passes 241
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Magdeburg vs Darmstadt 98
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Magdeburg overpowered Darmstadt 98 4-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Magdeburg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 60% to 40% in Magdeburg's favour, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.48 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Magdeburg against 1.67 for Darmstadt 98.

Magdeburg vs Darmstadt 98 Result & Final Score

Magdeburg 4-1 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Magdeburg vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 42%, draw 25%, Darmstadt 98 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magdeburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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