Darmstadt 98 1-2 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.19
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
16%
5.38
X/2
10%
6.29
X/X
8%
5.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
2/2
14%
3.96
2/X
12%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.58/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.64
+6% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
21.0 Crosses 11.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Magdeburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.54 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 336
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
10.11.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
13.09.2020 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-3 HT 2-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AFK
13.04.2019 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
03.11.2018 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-1 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
17.08.2018 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
1-2
AWAY Magdeburg
1.82 xG 1.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
283 Passes 454
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg nicked a narrow win over Darmstadt 98 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Darmstadt 98 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 42% of the ball to Magdeburg's 58%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.82 to 1.09 — the balance of chances actually favoured Darmstadt 98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 0.50 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Magdeburg?

Darmstadt 98 1-2 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 42%, draw 28%, Magdeburg 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Darmstadt 98) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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