Hamburg vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamburg v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals
Hamburg vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Paderborn
AL2
2-2
HT 1-1
Paderborn
AL2
2-3
HT 1-2
Hamburg
AL2
1-2
HT 0-1
Paderborn
AL2
1-2
HT 1-1
Hamburg
AL2
Hamburg 2-2 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics
Hamburg and Paderborn shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Hamburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Hamburg had 60% of the ball to Paderborn's 40%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.51 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hamburg and 1.67 for Paderborn.
What was the final score of Hamburg vs Paderborn?
Hamburg 2-2 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Paderborn?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 43%, draw 26%, Paderborn 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.