Paderborn 2-0 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.18
Over Pick
60%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.51
No
41%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.21
2-3
37%
1.86
4-5
28%
2.87
6+
13%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.16
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.1
X/1
12%
5.52
X/2
12%
6.57
X/X
10%
5.23
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
17%
4.14
2/X
8%
12.35
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg The Market 37%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.83/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.62
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
21.3 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hamburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
299 Passes 394
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Hamburg Hamburg 2-2 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
10.05.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
09.12.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
05.05.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
30.10.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 2-3 HT 1-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
02.04.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
2-0
AWAY Hamburg
2.60 xG 1.26
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
257 Passes 436
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
42 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Paderborn vs Hamburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Paderborn beat Hamburg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Paderborn made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hamburg saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.60 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Paderborn against 1.50 for Hamburg.

Paderborn vs Hamburg Result & Final Score

Paderborn 2-0 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Paderborn vs Hamburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 39%, draw 25%, Hamburg 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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