Babelsberg 0-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.83/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.20
+2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
07.04.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 3-1 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
20.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
05.05.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 6-2 HT 2-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
05.10.2019 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt got the better of Babelsberg 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Babelsberg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babelsberg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Babelsberg and 1.50 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Babelsberg 0-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 41%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✗ BTTS Yes
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