Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Oct 2024

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1-1 HT 0-1
Babelsberg
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Babelsberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Babelsberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 36%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
2.35/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.25
+45% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Babelsberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 3-1 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
20.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
05.05.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 6-2 HT 2-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
05.10.2019 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
20.04.2013 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt AL3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt and Babelsberg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Erfurt at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babelsberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.67 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Babelsberg?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 41%, draw 30%, Babelsberg 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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