Illertissen 1-2 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Oct 2024

Illertissen
1-2 HT 0-1
Wacker Burghausen
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Illertissen v Wacker Burghausen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
2.16/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.55
+28% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 3-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-1 HT 1-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
11.03.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-3 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
23.08.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-0 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
14.04.2022 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 3-0 HT 1-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
31.08.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 1-2 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wacker Burghausen edged past Illertissen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Illertissen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wacker Burghausen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Illertissen and 1.67 for Wacker Burghausen.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen?

Illertissen 1-2 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 42%, draw 34%, Wacker Burghausen 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Illertissen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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