Schweinfurt 4-1 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.99/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.98
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schweinfurt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nürnberg II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 3-2 HT 2-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
10.04.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-4 HT 1-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
16.09.2022 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-3 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
20.02.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
07.08.2021 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 0-2 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schweinfurt vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schweinfurt swept aside Nürnberg II 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Schweinfurt as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Schweinfurt and 2.17 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Schweinfurt vs Nürnberg II?

Schweinfurt 4-1 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schweinfurt vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schweinfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Schweinfurt 42%, draw 28%, Nürnberg II 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schweinfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schweinfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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