Holstein Kiel II 1-3 Werder Bremen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Oct 2024

Holstein Kiel II
1-3 HT 1-2
Werder Bremen II
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Holstein Kiel II vs Werder Bremen II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.74
Over 2.5
64%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holstein Kiel II v Werder Bremen II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.06/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.79
+39% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Holstein Kiel II vs Werder Bremen II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Werder Bremen II
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
19.05.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 2-1 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
14.05.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 2-0 HT 2-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
20.04.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 0-1 HT 0-1 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
30.11.2019 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Werder Bremen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II beat Holstein Kiel II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Werder Bremen II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 1.40 for Werder Bremen II.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Werder Bremen II?

Holstein Kiel II 1-3 Werder Bremen II in the Germany - Regional League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Werder Bremen II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Werder Bremen II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 33%, draw 29%, Werder Bremen II 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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