UE Santa Coloma 2-1 Pas de la Casa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Pas de la Casa EU Bookmakers 19%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.24/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.29
-33% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UE Santa Coloma
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Pas de la Casa
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 6
10.12.2024 Pas de la Casa 1-2 HT 1-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
28.09.2024 Pas de la Casa 2-2 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
11.02.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 0-0 HT 0-0 Pas de la Casa AND
29.10.2023 Pas de la Casa 1-5 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
POST-MATCH UE Santa Coloma vs Pas de la Casa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UE Santa Coloma nicked a narrow win over Pas de la Casa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had UE Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, UE Santa Coloma had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for UE Santa Coloma and 1.00 for Pas de la Casa.

What was the final score of UE Santa Coloma vs Pas de la Casa?

UE Santa Coloma 2-1 Pas de la Casa in the Andorra - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UE Santa Coloma vs Pas de la Casa?

Before kick-off our model rated a UE Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split UE Santa Coloma 53%, draw 22%, Pas de la Casa 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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