Madura United 1-3 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.16/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.39
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PSM Makassar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
329 Passes 287
18.10.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
21.04.2024 Madura United Madura United 2-0 HT 2-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
15.12.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
08.01.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
12.09.2021 Madura United Madura United 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
24.10.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madura United
1-3
AWAY PSM Makassar
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar got the better of Madura United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; PSM Makassar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Madura United had 56% of the ball to PSM Makassar's 44%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Madura United and 0.83 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of Madura United vs PSM Makassar?

Madura United 1-3 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Madura United 35%, draw 25%, PSM Makassar 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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