KaPa 5-0 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.77
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.62
6+ Goals
10%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 43%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-100% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -80%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY JaPS
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 KaPa KaPa 3-5 JaPS JaPS FİN2
28.06.2024 JaPS JaPS 2-2 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
28.04.2024 KaPa KaPa 3-3 HT 2-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
16.09.2023 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 KaPa KaPa FINY
02.09.2023 JaPS JaPS 4-4 HT 2-3 KaPa KaPa FİN2
17.06.2023 KaPa KaPa 3-1 HT 0-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
5-0
AWAY JaPS
62% Ball Possession 38%
28 Total Shots 8
19 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KaPa vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa ran out comfortable winners over JaPS 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; KaPa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KaPa had 62% of the ball to JaPS's 38%, shots finished 28-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JaPS led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for KaPa and 2.83 for JaPS.

What was the final score of KaPa vs JaPS?

KaPa 5-0 JaPS in the Finland - Ykköscup on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an JaPS win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KaPa 38%, draw 23%, JaPS 40%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (JaPS), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JaPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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