KaPa 3-5 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.32
No
46%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.71
2-3 Goals
38%
2.27
4-5 Goals
28%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
4.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
72%
-17.9pp
46%
BTTS No
28%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.48/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.29
+63% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY JaPS
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2024 JaPS JaPS 2-2 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
28.04.2024 KaPa KaPa 3-3 HT 2-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
16.09.2023 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 KaPa KaPa FINY
02.09.2023 JaPS JaPS 4-4 HT 2-3 KaPa KaPa FİN2
17.06.2023 KaPa KaPa 3-1 HT 0-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
27.08.2021 JaPS JaPS 5-2 HT 2-1 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
3-5
AWAY JaPS
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 16
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH KaPa vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS got the better of KaPa 5-3 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; JaPS found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KaPa had 52% of the ball to JaPS's 48%, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JaPS led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for KaPa and 2.83 for JaPS.

What was the final score of KaPa vs JaPS?

KaPa 3-5 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KaPa 39%, draw 23%, JaPS 38%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KaPa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KaPa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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