Jaro 3-0 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.38
2-3 Goals
38%
2.11
4-5 Goals
29%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
79%
-16.5pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+13.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.54/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.31
+3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
552 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
5W-0D-1L
AWAY SalPa Salo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
04.05.2024 Jaro Jaro 2-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
17.02.2024 Jaro Jaro 3-0 HT 2-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
23.09.2023 Jaro Jaro 3-1 HT 3-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINY
26.08.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 3-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
11.06.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
3-0
AWAY SalPa Salo
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Jaro vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro swept aside SalPa Salo 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jaro had 53% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 47%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jaro and 0.83 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of Jaro vs SalPa Salo?

Jaro 3-0 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Jaro 62%, draw 16%, SalPa Salo 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
19 Oct 2024
00:00 JIPPO vs SJK Akatemia Analysis →
00:00 KaPa vs JaPS Analysis →
16:00 KTP Kotka vs TPS Turku Analysis →
16:00 PK-35 ry vs Mikkeli Analysis →