SalPa Salo 0-1 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+9.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
48%
-11.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 52%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.53/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.98
+36% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
240 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Jaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Jaro Jaro 2-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
17.02.2024 Jaro Jaro 3-0 HT 2-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
23.09.2023 Jaro Jaro 3-1 HT 3-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINY
26.08.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 3-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
11.06.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
0-1
AWAY Jaro
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro squeezed past SalPa Salo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Jaro made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 54% of the ball to Jaro's 46%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.80 for Jaro.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs Jaro?

SalPa Salo 0-1 Jaro in the Finland - Ykkönen on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 35%, draw 28%, Jaro 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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