PK-35 ry 1-2 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 18%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.26/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.68
+2% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PK-35 ry
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mikkeli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
05.05.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-0 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
03.02.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-3 HT 1-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FINYK
10.09.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINY
31.07.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-2 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
29.05.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
03.10.2021 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-3 HT 1-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PK-35 ry
1-2
AWAY Mikkeli
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH PK-35 ry vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mikkeli nicked a narrow win over PK-35 ry 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was PK-35 ry at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PK-35 ry had 66% of the ball to Mikkeli's 34%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PK-35 ry and 1.17 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of PK-35 ry vs Mikkeli?

PK-35 ry 1-2 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PK-35 ry vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a PK-35 ry win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split PK-35 ry 52%, draw 24%, Mikkeli 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PK-35 ry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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