KaPa 0-0 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 58%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
0.92/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.03
-13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-0D-3L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
09.03.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-2 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FINYK
19.08.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
08.06.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-1 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
0-0
AWAY TPS Turku
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KaPa vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa and TPS Turku played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was TPS Turku at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KaPa had 45% of the ball to TPS Turku's 55%, shots finished 10-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KaPa and 2.25 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of KaPa vs TPS Turku?

KaPa 0-0 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split KaPa 26%, draw 24%, TPS Turku 49%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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