TPS Turku vs KaPa Prediction — Model Probabilities
TPS Turku v KaPa — Team-Based Signals
TPS Turku vs KaPa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
TPS Turku 3-2 KaPa — Actual Match Statistics
TPS Turku squeezed past KaPa 3-2. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we said in the preview, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, TPS Turku had 56% of the ball to KaPa's 44%, shots finished 13-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for TPS Turku and 1.50 for KaPa.
TPS Turku vs KaPa Result & Final Score
TPS Turku 3 - 2 KaPa in the Finland - Ykköscup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
TPS Turku vs KaPa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 63%, draw 20%, KaPa 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.