SalPa Salo 1-2 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.84
2-3 Goals
35%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 36% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.1pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 6
08.07.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
21.04.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-1 HT 1-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-2
AWAY SJK Akatemia
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Akatemia edged past SalPa Salo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 39% — and on the day SJK Akatemia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 51% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 49%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SalPa Salo and 2.00 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia?

SalPa Salo 1-2 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykköscup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 36%, draw 26%, SJK Akatemia 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Akatemia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FINYK More Finland - Ykköscup
9 Mar 2024
13:00 TPS Turku vs KaPa Analysis →
16:45 JaPS vs Mikkeli Analysis →