PK-35 ry 1-0 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
5.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.01 — our 27% vs market 15.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-15.8pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 21%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.42/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.22
-36% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PK-35 ry
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mikkeli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-2 HT 0-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
05.05.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-0 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
03.02.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-3 HT 1-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FINYK
10.09.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINY
31.07.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-2 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
29.05.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PK-35 ry
1-0
AWAY Mikkeli
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PK-35 ry vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PK-35 ry squeezed past Mikkeli 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PK-35 ry as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, PK-35 ry had 41% of the ball to Mikkeli's 59%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mikkeli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PK-35 ry and 1.17 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of PK-35 ry vs Mikkeli?

PK-35 ry 1-0 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PK-35 ry vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a PK-35 ry win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split PK-35 ry 45%, draw 28%, Mikkeli 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PK-35 ry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PK-35 ry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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