Mixco 0-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.31/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.29
-6% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
22.09.2024 Mixco Mixco 1-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
29.02.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 1-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
01.02.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
17.09.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
14.08.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-1 HT 0-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
30.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
0-1
AWAY Guastatoya
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya squeezed past Mixco 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mixco at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mixco had 63% of the ball to Guastatoya's 37%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mixco and 0.83 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Guastatoya?

Mixco 0-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mixco 45%, draw 29%, Guastatoya 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mixco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mixco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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2 Mar 2025
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