Mixco 2-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
38%
Draw
31%
+6.6pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.21/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.21
-6% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Guastatoya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
17.09.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
14.08.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-1 HT 0-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
30.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
01.03.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
16.10.2022 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
2-1
AWAY Guastatoya
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco nicked a narrow win over Guastatoya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 38% / 23%) promised a tight game; Mixco found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mixco had 49% of the ball to Guastatoya's 51%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mixco and 1.17 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Guastatoya?

Mixco 2-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mixco 39%, draw 38%, Guastatoya 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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