Coatepeque 1-2 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Feb 2024

Coatepeque
1-2 HT 0-2
Malacateco
📅29/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Coatepeque vs Malacateco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
24%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
42%
+9.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
24%
Away Win
31%
-6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coatepeque v Malacateco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coatepeque EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.46/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.71
+15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Coatepeque vs Malacateco Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coatepeque
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Malacateco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.02.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 3-2 HT 0-0 Coatepeque GUAT
17.09.2023 Coatepeque 0-2 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
13.08.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Coatepeque GUAT
POST-MATCH Coatepeque vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Coatepeque 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Coatepeque at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Coatepeque and 2.00 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Coatepeque vs Malacateco?

Coatepeque 1-2 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coatepeque vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coatepeque win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Coatepeque 51%, draw 25%, Malacateco 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Coatepeque) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coatepeque) ✓ BTTS Yes
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