Achuapa 2-1 Zacapa Tellioz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.79/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.06
-1% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.02.2024 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
17.09.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 3-1 HT 1-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
12.08.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 2-3 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
2-1
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Zacapa Tellioz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa nicked a narrow win over Zacapa Tellioz 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Achuapa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Achuapa had 56% of the ball to Zacapa Tellioz's 44%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Achuapa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Achuapa and 1.00 for Zacapa Tellioz.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Achuapa 2-1 Zacapa Tellioz in the Guatemala - National League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 53%, draw 26%, Zacapa Tellioz 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Achuapa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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