Antigua GFC 1-0 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
0.87/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.14
-32% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Municipal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
31.01.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
17.09.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
13.08.2023 Municipal Municipal 0-1 HT 0-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
15.05.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
12.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
30.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 4-0 HT 2-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua GFC
1-0
AWAY Municipal
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC nicked a narrow win over Municipal 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Antigua GFC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Antigua GFC had 53% of the ball to Municipal's 47%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Antigua GFC and 2.00 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Municipal?

Antigua GFC 1-0 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 38%, draw 32%, Municipal 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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