Mixco 1-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 25%
+12% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.35/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.32
-3% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Guastatoya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
29.02.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 1-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
01.02.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
17.09.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
14.08.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-1 HT 0-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
30.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
01.03.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco and Guastatoya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mixco at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mixco and 1.17 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Guastatoya?

Mixco 1-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mixco 45%, draw 30%, Guastatoya 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mixco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mixco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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