Municipal 5-0 Zacapa Tellioz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-9.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.0pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
2.25/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.91
+22% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 2-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
11.02.2024 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
03.12.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-2 HT 1-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
01.12.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
01.10.2023 Municipal Municipal 4-2 HT 0-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
27.08.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
5-0
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Zacapa Tellioz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal cruised past Zacapa Tellioz 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Municipal had 65% of the ball to Zacapa Tellioz's 35%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Municipal and 1.00 for Zacapa Tellioz.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Municipal 5-0 Zacapa Tellioz in the Guatemala - National League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Municipal 59%, draw 21%, Zacapa Tellioz 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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