Xelaju MC 4-1 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.73/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.68
-2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
05.11.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
28.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
25.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
23.04.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-3 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
26.02.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
4-1
AWAY Antigua GFC
38% Ball Possession 62%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC swept aside Antigua GFC 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 38% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 62%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.83 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Antigua GFC?

Xelaju MC 4-1 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 57%, draw 24%, Antigua GFC 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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