Excelsior vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Excelsior v Roda — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Excelsior 1-1 Roda — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior and Roda finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Excelsior at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.
On the day, possession split 70% to 30% in Excelsior's favour, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.88 to 0.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Excelsior against 1.50 for Roda.
Excelsior vs Roda Result & Final Score
Excelsior 1 - 1 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Excelsior vs Roda Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 58%, draw 22%, Roda 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Excelsior), Over 2.5 went the other way.