ADO Den Haag 2-1 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.8
X/1
17%
4.14
X/2
7%
10.9
X/X
10%
5.8
2/1
9%
21.4
2/2
12%
8.57
2/X
6%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.69/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.60
-10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.4 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
331 Passes 305
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-0 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
11.02.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
25.08.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
26.02.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
14.08.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-2 HT 0-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
06.02.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
2-1
AWAY Den Bosch
1.64 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
298 Passes 194
71% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag nicked a narrow win over Den Bosch 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 57% of the ball to Den Bosch's 43%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.64 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ADO Den Haag and 0.83 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Den Bosch?

ADO Den Haag 2-1 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 51%, draw 25%, Den Bosch 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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