Den Bosch 2-0 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
13%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.43
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
11%
6.68
X/2
13%
5.13
X/X
10%
4.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
31.0
2/2
20%
3.05
2/X
7%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.27/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.17
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.9 Crosses 19.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
1W-1D-4L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
299 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
25.08.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
26.02.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
14.08.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-2 HT 0-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
06.02.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
10.10.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-2 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
2-0
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.41 xG 0.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
231 Passes 294
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch got the better of ADO Den Haag 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Den Bosch made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 44% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 2.41 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Den Bosch and 1.50 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag?

Den Bosch 2-0 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 36%, draw 25%, ADO Den Haag 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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