Emmen 1-3 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Sep 2024

Emmen
1-3 HT 0-1
Roda
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Emmen vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.48
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
10%
4.56
X/2
15%
7.83
X/X
10%
5.71
2/1
7%
21.3
2/2
13%
5.22
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Roda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.68/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.39
-21% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
24.1 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Emmen vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Roda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
343 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Roda Roda 3-2 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
15.12.2023 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
22.04.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
23.10.2021 Roda Roda 1-2 HT 1-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
25.05.2015 Roda Roda 2-2 HT 2-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
22.05.2015 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2

Emmen 1-3 Roda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
1-3
AWAY Roda
1.19 xG 1.59
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
465 Passes 218
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda beat Emmen 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Roda made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Emmen had 65% of the ball to Roda's 35%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.19 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Emmen and 1.33 for Roda.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Roda?

Emmen 1-3 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Emmen 40%, draw 25%, Roda 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Emmen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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