Roda vs Emmen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Roda v Emmen — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs Emmen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Roda 3-2 Emmen — Actual Match Statistics
Roda edged past Emmen 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came home.
Under the surface, Roda had 61% of the ball to Emmen's 39%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.24 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roda's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roda and 1.50 for Emmen.
Roda vs Emmen Result & Final Score
Roda 3 - 2 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Roda vs Emmen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Roda 55%, draw 24%, Emmen 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.