Willem II 2-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Feb 2024

Willem II
2-1 HT 2-0
ADO Den Haag
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Willem II vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
12%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.86
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.55
X/2
11%
6.64
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.0
2/2
13%
4.83
2/X
9%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Willem II v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +21%
1.26/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.16
+6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
21.5 Crosses 18.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Willem II vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
3W-3D-0L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.50 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
331 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.12.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
17.03.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-3 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
02.09.2022 Willem II Willem II 1-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
13.05.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-4 HT 0-3 Willem II Willem II HOL
24.02.2021 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
23.11.2019 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-3 HT 0-2 Willem II Willem II HOL

Willem II 2-1 ADO Den Haag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
2-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.95 xG 1.07
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
215 Passes 470
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 24
5 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Willem II vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II nicked a narrow win over ADO Den Haag 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Willem II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Willem II had 34% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 66%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.95 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Willem II and 1.17 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Willem II vs ADO Den Haag?

Willem II 2-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Willem II 40%, draw 27%, ADO Den Haag 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Willem II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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