Telstar 1-1 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Feb 2024

Telstar
1-1 HT 1-0
NAC Breda
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Telstar vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.57
1/2
7%
24.6
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
10%
6.45
X/2
14%
4.7
X/X
7%
4.82
2/1
10%
32.0
2/2
20%
2.93
2/X
11%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.09/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.28
-20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
20.1 Crosses 19.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Telstar vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY NAC Breda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.09 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
327 Passes 326
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 3-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
19.05.2023 Telstar Telstar 2-1 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
04.11.2022 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
14.03.2022 Telstar Telstar 1-4 HT 1-2 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
13.08.2021 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
16.02.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-2 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2

Telstar 1-1 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
1-1
AWAY NAC Breda
1.30 xG 1.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
22 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
261 Passes 462
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 33
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telstar vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and NAC Breda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was NAC Breda at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Telstar had 39% of the ball to NAC Breda's 61%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.30 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Telstar and 2.17 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of Telstar vs NAC Breda?

Telstar 1-1 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated an NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Telstar 32%, draw 27%, NAC Breda 41%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NAC Breda) ✗ Over 2.5
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