Den Bosch 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
15%
4.92
X/2
12%
6.34
X/X
12%
4.42
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.47
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.23/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.46
+5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
15.4 Crosses 11.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
293 Passes 399
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.02.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-1 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
14.10.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
20.12.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-3 HT 1-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.09.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-1 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
05.04.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
0-0
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs AZ Alkmaar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and AZ Alkmaar II played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Den Bosch had 42% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 58%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Den Bosch and 1.50 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Den Bosch 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 38%, draw 27%, AZ Alkmaar II 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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