AZ Alkmaar II vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities
AZ Alkmaar II v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics
Vitesse squeezed past AZ Alkmaar II 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, AZ Alkmaar II had 61% of the ball to Vitesse's 39%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.20 to 0.74 — on chances, AZ Alkmaar II could feel hard done by.
AZ Alkmaar II vs Vitesse Result & Final Score
AZ Alkmaar II 0 - 1 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AZ Alkmaar II vs Vitesse Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 42%, draw 26%, Vitesse 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.