MVV Maastricht 2-2 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Sep 2024

MVV Maastricht
2-2 HT 1-1
Volendam
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

MVV Maastricht vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.63
Over 2.5
64%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.3
2-3 Goals
39%
2.1
4-5 Goals
29%
2.54
6+ Goals
15%
5.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.22
1/2
10%
23.6
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
17%
5.9
X/2
10%
6.21
X/X
10%
6.17
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
15%
3.45
2/X
5%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
34%
+1.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
66%
-1.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.6pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MVV Maastricht v Volendam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.70/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.62
+34% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
14.9 Crosses 19.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

MVV Maastricht vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Volendam
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.08 xG 2.29
40% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
215 Passes 462
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
21.01.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
27.08.2021 Volendam Volendam 5-0 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
30.04.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-2 HT 0-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
03.01.2021 Volendam Volendam 0-1 HT 0-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
13.12.2019 Volendam Volendam 4-1 HT 1-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
29.03.2019 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2

MVV Maastricht 2-2 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
2-2
AWAY Volendam
0.85 xG 0.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
313 Passes 444
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht and Volendam couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was MVV Maastricht at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 43% of the ball to Volendam's 57%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.85 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for MVV Maastricht and 2.17 for Volendam.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Volendam?

MVV Maastricht 2-2 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 42%, draw 23%, Volendam 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MVV Maastricht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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