Cambuur 0-1 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.68
2-3 Goals
39%
2.15
4-5 Goals
29%
2.5
6+ Goals
12%
5.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.65
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
7%
5.23
X/2
10%
7.41
X/X
6%
6.35
2/1
10%
20.4
2/2
22%
4.27
2/X
12%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.0pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.06/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.68
-23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
21.8 Crosses 12.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ajax II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.86 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
301 Passes 306
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.04.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 2-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
25.08.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 4-2 HT 3-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
19.02.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.11.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 2-3 HT 2-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
13.12.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
26.07.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
0-1
AWAY Ajax II
1.15 xG 0.59
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 6
443 Passes 207
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 15
37 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II edged past Cambuur 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Ajax II made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cambuur had 66% of the ball to Ajax II's 34%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.15 to 0.59 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cambuur.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cambuur and 2.00 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Ajax II?

Cambuur 0-1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 38%, draw 24%, Ajax II 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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