Iwaki 1-1 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.12
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.24
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.00/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.05
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 12.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 Passes 450
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-1 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
26.05.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 1-1 HT 1-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
10.09.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
07.06.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-1 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JPK
19.03.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-1
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
227 Passes 252
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
6 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Tokushima Vortis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki and Tokushima Vortis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Iwaki had 52% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 48%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Iwaki and 1.00 for Tokushima Vortis.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Tokushima Vortis?

Iwaki 1-1 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - J2 League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 34%, draw 31%, Tokushima Vortis 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5
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