Roasso Kumamoto 0-4 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.41/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.21
+17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.3 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
580 Passes 224
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-3 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
05.03.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-0 HT 2-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
04.09.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
05.03.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-2 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
10.10.2015 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-0 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
05.04.2015 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0-4
AWAY Omiya Ardija
66% Ball Possession 34%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
386 Passes 207
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija cruised past Roasso Kumamoto 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Omiya Ardija made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 66% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 34%, shots finished 4-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 0.50 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Omiya Ardija?

Roasso Kumamoto 0-4 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J2 League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 40%, draw 27%, Omiya Ardija 34%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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