Mito HollyHock 1-1 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 27% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.45/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.62
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 11.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ehime FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
288 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-1 HT 2-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
08.06.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
28.11.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-1 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
30.05.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
29.11.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
29.08.2020 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-1
AWAY Ehime FC
75% Ball Possession 25%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
542 Passes 105
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock and Ehime FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mito HollyHock at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 75% of the ball to Ehime FC's 25%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mito HollyHock and 0.83 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Ehime FC?

Mito HollyHock 1-1 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 41%, draw 29%, Ehime FC 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mito HollyHock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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