Mito HollyHock 3-1 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.33/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.46
-12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ehime FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
28.11.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-1 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
30.05.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
29.11.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
29.08.2020 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
10.11.2019 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
3-1
AWAY Ehime FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
288 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock beat Ehime FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mito HollyHock as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 46% of the ball to Ehime FC's 54%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mito HollyHock and 0.67 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Ehime FC?

Mito HollyHock 3-1 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 47%, draw 25%, Ehime FC 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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