Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -22%
2.07/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.68
+39% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
337 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kagoshima United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
27.10.2019 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-0
AWAY Kagoshima United
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
370 Passes 382
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu squeezed past Kagoshima United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ventforet Kofu as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 47% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 53%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 0.50 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Kagoshima United?

Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J2 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 41%, draw 27%, Kagoshima United 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ventforet Kofu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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