Renofa Yamaguchi 0-2 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.78
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.28/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.87
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
450 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
376 Passes 155
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
22.10.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
22.04.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
13.08.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3-2 HT 2-2 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
12.06.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
09.08.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0-2
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
146 Passes 264
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama saw off Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Fagiano Okayama found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 39% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 61%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.50 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fagiano Okayama?

Renofa Yamaguchi 0-2 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 37%, draw 29%, Fagiano Okayama 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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