Montedio Yamagata 1-2 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.8pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 56%
+8% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.84/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.81
+79% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Yokohama FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
399 Passes 258
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
14.09.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
30.03.2022 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
31.08.2019 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
26.10.2014 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-4 HT 1-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
22.03.2014 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1-2
AWAY Yokohama FC
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 13
281 Passes 439
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Crosses 45
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama FC nicked a narrow win over Montedio Yamagata 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yokohama FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 39% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 61%, shots finished 6-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.67 for Yokohama FC.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama FC?

Montedio Yamagata 1-2 Yokohama FC in the Japan - J2 League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 25%, draw 32%, Yokohama FC 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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