Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.28/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.46
-27% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
393 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
155 Passes 376
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
22.04.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
13.08.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3-2 HT 2-2 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
12.06.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
09.08.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
21.03.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1-0
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama edged past Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fagiano Okayama as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 48% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 52%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 0.83 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 45%, draw 27%, Renofa Yamaguchi 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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