Vegalta Sendai 1-0 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.46/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.33
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
361 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
426 Passes 213
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
07.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
03.09.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-2 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
27.02.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-3 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1-0
AWAY Mito HollyHock
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai squeezed past Mito HollyHock 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 55% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 45%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.50 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Mito HollyHock?

Vegalta Sendai 1-0 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 44%, draw 26%, Mito HollyHock 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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