Ehime FC 2-3 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 32% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.7pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 42%
-14% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
0.80/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.93
-35% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
357 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 8
09.11.2014 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 HT 1-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
2-3
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto squeezed past Ehime FC 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roasso Kumamoto as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ehime FC had 52% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 48%, shots finished 5-19.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Ehime FC 2-3 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 34%, draw 26%, Roasso Kumamoto 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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