Kagoshima United 0-1 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.64/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.25
+36% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
27.10.2019 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
0-1
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu edged past Kagoshima United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Ventforet Kofu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 56% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 44%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Ventforet Kofu?

Kagoshima United 0-1 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 34%, draw 27%, Ventforet Kofu 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ventforet Kofu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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